First-Time Home Buyers Face Record Affordability Crisis in Q1 2020 Metro Report

First-Time Home Buyers Face Record Affordability Crisis in Q1 2020 Metro Report

By Michael Thornton

March 10, 2025 at 12:51 AM

First-time home buyers faced significant challenges in major U.S. metropolitan areas during Q1 2020, with both affordability and availability presenting substantial hurdles.

In 40% of the largest U.S. metros, list prices exceeded five times the median first-time buyer income. Active listings plummeted 19% compared to Q1 2019, creating a highly competitive market for new buyers.

Key Findings:

  • National affordability ratio: 4.5 (meaning homes were listed at 4.5 times the median first-time buyer income)
  • Only Pittsburgh had homes priced at the recommended three times income ratio
  • 28 metros exceeded the national average affordability ratio
  • 10 metros had list prices over six times local first-time buyer income

Price Trends:

  • National average list prices rose 4% (inflation-adjusted)
  • 39 of 50 largest metros saw price increases
  • Los Angeles experienced the highest increase (21%)
  • Only Houston, Minneapolis, and Louisville saw price decreases (4%)

Price change chart with downward trend

Price change chart with downward trend

Inventory Challenges:

  • Active listings fell in 48 of 50 major metros
  • 23 metros saw inventory drops exceeding 20%
  • Only Minneapolis (+8%) and San Antonio (+3%) showed inventory increases
  • Salt Lake City experienced a 40% decrease in listings

Graph showing declining real estate listings

Graph showing declining real estate listings

Los Angeles Market Spotlight:

  • List prices increased 21% to $953,000
  • Homes cost approximately 12 times median first-time buyer income
  • Active listings decreased 21%

First-time buyers should consider:

  • Using home affordability calculators to determine realistic price ranges
  • Being prepared for multiple offer situations in competitive markets
  • Evaluating income stability before stretching budgets
  • Remaining patient in areas with limited inventory

Note: This data predates significant COVID-19 economic impacts, serving as a baseline for future market analysis.

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